Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets
All Tampa Bay Lightning predictions · All Winnipeg Jets predictions
NHL · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 6:09 PM · Final: 3-4
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Tampa Bay Lightning | Winnipeg Jets |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -170 | +140 |
| BetRivers | -148 | +125 |
| DraftKings | -162 | +136 |
| ESPN BET | -165 | +140 |
| Fanatics | -170 | +140 |
| FanDuel | -166 | +138 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -170 | +130 |
| Novig | -163 | +156 |
| Caesars | -175 | +140 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Lightning | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +140 | +1.5 -170 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +165 | +1.5 -210 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +154 | +1.5 -185 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +160 | +1.5 -190 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +150 | +1.5 -185 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +142 | +1.5 -176 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +160 | +1.5 -210 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +135 | +1.5 -170 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -120 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 +106 | 6.5 -132 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -120 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -125 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -122 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -120 |
| Caesars | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Tampa Bay Lightning | Winnipeg Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 59.9% | 40.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 59.7% | 39.1% |
| Kalshi contract price | 61.5% | 38.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.