Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings
All Miami Heat predictions · All Sacramento Kings predictions
NBA · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 9:12 PM · Final: 114-108
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Miami Heat | Sacramento Kings |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -600 | +425 |
| BetRivers | -480 | +350 |
| DraftKings | -574 | +429 |
| ESPN BET | -650 | +425 |
| Fanatics | -575 | +420 |
| FanDuel | -550 | +410 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -600 | +425 |
| Novig | -506 | +471 |
| Caesars | -480 | +360 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Heat | Kings |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −11.5 -115 | +11.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | −11.5 -110 | +11.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | −11.5 -115 | +11.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | −11.5 -110 | +11.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | −11.5 -115 | +11.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | −11.5 -114 | +11.5 -106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −11.5 -115 | +11.5 -105 |
| Caesars | −12.5 +100 | +12.5 -120 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 235.5 -110 | 235.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 235.5 -112 | 235.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | 235.5 -105 | 235.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 235.5 -105 | 235.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 235.5 -110 | 235.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 235.5 -110 | 235.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 235.5 -110 | 235.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 235 -115 | 235 -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Miami Heat | Sacramento Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 81.8% | 18.2% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 82.8% | 17.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 83.1% | 16.9% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.