Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs
All Colorado Avalanche predictions · All Toronto Maple Leafs predictions
NHL · Tuesday, November 10, 2026 · 7:12 PM · Final: 6-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Colorado Avalanche | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -175 | +145 |
| BetRivers | -162 | +135 |
| DraftKings | -175 | +145 |
| ESPN BET | -175 | +150 |
| Fanatics | -180 | +150 |
| FanDuel | -182 | +150 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -180 | +140 |
| Novig | -167 | +163 |
| Caesars | -173 | +145 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Avalanche | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -155 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +143 | +1.5 -177 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +140 | +1.5 -166 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +140 | +1.5 -165 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +135 | +1.5 -165 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +128 | +1.5 -160 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +130 | +1.5 -165 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +139 | +1.5 -164 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7 +105 | 7 -125 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 -141 | 6.5 +114 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 -142 | 6.5 +120 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +115 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +115 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 -142 | 6.5 +116 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +105 |
| Caesars | 7 +115 | 7 -141 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Colorado Avalanche | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 60.9% | 39.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 61.8% | 38.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 62.2% | 37.8% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.