Miami Heat at Utah Jazz
All Miami Heat predictions · All Utah Jazz predictions
NBA · Tuesday, November 10, 2026 · 9:12 PM · Final: 115-109
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Miami Heat | Utah Jazz |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -325 | +260 |
| BetRivers | -385 | +295 |
| DraftKings | -344 | +276 |
| ESPN BET | -360 | +280 |
| Fanatics | -340 | +265 |
| FanDuel | -320 | +250 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -350 | +275 |
| Novig | -317 | +308 |
| Caesars | -350 | +275 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Heat | Jazz |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −8.5 -105 | +8.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | −9.5 -106 | +9.5 -117 |
| DraftKings | −8.5 -105 | +8.5 -116 |
| ESPN BET | −8.5 -105 | +8.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | −8.5 -105 | +8.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | −8.5 -106 | +8.5 -114 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −8.5 -115 | +8.5 -105 |
| Caesars | −8 -110 | +8 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 227.5 -110 | 227.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 227.5 -114 | 227.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | 227.5 -113 | 227.5 -107 |
| ESPN BET | 228.5 -110 | 228.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 227.5 -110 | 227.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 227.5 -110 | 227.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 227.5 -110 | 227.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 228 -110 | 228 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Miami Heat | Utah Jazz |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 74.5% | 25.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 76.0% | 24.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 75.5% | 24.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.