Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals
All Arizona Diamondbacks predictions · All Washington Nationals predictions
MLB · Friday, July 24, 2026 · 6:46 PM · Final: 3-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Arizona Diamondbacks | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -125 | +105 |
| BetRivers | -134 | +112 |
| DraftKings | -126 | +104 |
| ESPN BET | -125 | +105 |
| Fanatics | -125 | +105 |
| FanDuel | -124 | +106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -125 | +105 |
| Caesars | -125 | +105 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Diamondbacks | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -155 |
| BetRivers | −1 -107 | +1 -114 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +128 | +1.5 -155 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -150 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +130 | +1.5 -160 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +130 | +1.5 -156 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -150 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +130 | +1.5 -155 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 9.5 -105 | 9.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 9.5 -104 | 9.5 -118 |
| DraftKings | 9.5 -104 | 9.5 -116 |
| ESPN BET | 9.5 -105 | 9.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 9.5 -105 | 9.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 9.5 -105 | 9.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.5 -105 | 9.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 9.5 -105 | 9.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Arizona Diamondbacks | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 53.2% | 46.8% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 55.4% | 47.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Markets average | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.