Athletics at Minnesota Twins
All Athletics predictions · All Minnesota Twins predictions
MLB · Friday, July 24, 2026 · 8:11 PM · Final: 2-0
The model's call
Minnesota Twins to win
Model confidence 56.1%
Books consensus 56.1%
Result Athletics won
model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Athletics | Minnesota Twins |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +118 | -145 |
| BetRivers | +115 | -132 |
| DraftKings | +119 | -143 |
| ESPN BET | +115 | -135 |
| Fanatics | +115 | -140 |
| FanDuel | +120 | -142 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +125 | -145 |
| Caesars | +118 | -140 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
Twins −1.5
priced 40.0% to cover · 8 books
Athletics covered +1.5
Total · closing
O/U 9.5
priced 51.1% over · 7 books, 1 on another number
Under 9.5 (2 scored)
| Spread by book | Athletics | Twins |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -165 | −1.5 +135 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +145 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -167 | −1.5 +138 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -175 | −1.5 +145 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -170 | −1.5 +140 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -178 | −1.5 +146 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -165 | −1.5 +135 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -165 | −1.5 +140 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 9.5 -115 | 9.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | 9.5 -114 | 9.5 -106 |
| DraftKings | 9.5 -117 | 9.5 -103 |
| ESPN BET | 9.5 -115 | 9.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 10 -105 | 10 -115 |
| FanDuel | 9.5 -118 | 9.5 -104 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.5 -120 | 9.5 +100 |
| Caesars | 9.5 -115 | 9.5 -105 |
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