Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox
All Toronto Blue Jays predictions · All Boston Red Sox predictions
MLB · Saturday, July 25, 2026 · 4:11 PM · Final: 6-0
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Toronto Blue Jays | Boston Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -110 | -110 |
| BetRivers | +100 | -113 |
| DraftKings | -104 | -116 |
| ESPN BET | -105 | -115 |
| Fanatics | -110 | -110 |
| FanDuel | -106 | -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -105 | -115 |
| Caesars | -115 | -105 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Blue Jays | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +165 | +1.5 -200 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +175 | +1.5 -230 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +167 | +1.5 -205 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +165 | +1.5 -200 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +155 | +1.5 -190 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +168 | +1.5 -205 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +180 | +1.5 -210 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -235 | −1.5 +192 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7 -118 | 7 -102 |
| BetRivers | 7 -118 | 7 -103 |
| DraftKings | 7 -123 | 7 +102 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -135 |
| Fanatics | 7 -110 | 7 -110 |
| FanDuel | 7 -115 | 7 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -140 |
| Caesars | 7 -120 | 7 +100 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Toronto Blue Jays | Boston Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 50.0% | 51.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| Markets average | 50.5% | 49.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.