Athletics at Minnesota Twins
All Athletics predictions · All Minnesota Twins predictions
MLB · Saturday, July 25, 2026 · 7:11 PM · Final: 0-2
The model's call
Minnesota Twins to win
Model confidence 57.2%
Books consensus 57.2%
Result Minnesota Twins won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Athletics | Minnesota Twins |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +125 | -150 |
| BetRivers | +125 | -148 |
| DraftKings | +123 | -149 |
| ESPN BET | +125 | -145 |
| Fanatics | +125 | -150 |
| FanDuel | +124 | -146 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +130 | -155 |
| Caesars | +122 | -145 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
Twins −1.5
priced 42.1% to cover · 8 books
Minnesota Twins covered −1.5
Total · closing
O/U 10
priced 50.0% over · 6 books, 2 on another number
Under 10 (2 scored)
| Spread by book | Athletics | Twins |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +125 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -152 | −1.5 +125 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +128 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +130 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -154 | −1.5 +128 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +130 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 10 -110 | 10 -110 |
| BetRivers | 10 -113 | 10 -106 |
| DraftKings | 10 -109 | 10 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 9.5 -120 | 9.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | 10 -110 | 10 -110 |
| FanDuel | 10 -112 | 10 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 10.5 +105 | 10.5 -125 |
| Caesars | 10 -110 | 10 -110 |
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