Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets
All Los Angeles Dodgers predictions · All New York Mets predictions
MLB · Sunday, July 26, 2026 · 1:41 PM · Final: 3-8
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Los Angeles Dodgers | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -155 | +130 |
| BetRivers | -152 | +133 |
| DraftKings | -155 | +128 |
| ESPN BET | -145 | +125 |
| Fanatics | -150 | +125 |
| FanDuel | -148 | +126 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -155 | +130 |
| Caesars | -150 | +126 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Dodgers | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +110 | +1.5 -130 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +104 | +1.5 -125 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +109 | +1.5 -131 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +110 | +1.5 -130 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +110 | +1.5 -135 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +108 | +1.5 -130 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +105 | +1.5 -130 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +105 | +1.5 -125 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8.5 -115 | 8.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | 8.5 -122 | 8.5 +102 |
| DraftKings | 8.5 -114 | 8.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -115 | 8.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 8.5 -115 | 8.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 -118 | 8.5 -104 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 -120 | 8.5 +100 |
| Caesars | 8.5 -115 | 8.5 -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Los Angeles Dodgers | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 59.2% | 42.9% |
| Kalshi contract price | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Markets average | 58.0% | 42.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.