New York Mets predictions
Every New York Mets game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
No upcoming New York Mets game on the board right now —
today's slate has what is live.
How the model has done on New York Mets
| Measure | Games | Right | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every New York Mets game we called | 74 | 38 | 51.4% |
| Games where the model made New York Mets the favorite | 30 | 16 | 53.3% |
A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads New York Mets correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.
Recent New York Mets calls
| Date | Game | Called | Confidence | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | New York Mets @ Washington Nationals | New York Mets | 50.8% | 4-6 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-26 | New York Mets @ Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 50.0% | 7-1 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-25 | New York Mets @ Washington Nationals | New York Mets | 50.0% | 6-7 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-24 | New York Mets @ Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 54.6% | 1-3 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-23 | New York Mets @ Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 50.0% | 7-2 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-22 | New York Mets @ Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 53.5% | 6-3 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-20 | Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets | Philadelphia Phillies | 59.1% | 7-2 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-19 | Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets | New York Mets | 53.2% | 3-10 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-18 | Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets | New York Mets | 53.2% | 3-6 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-17 | Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets | New York Mets | 54.3% | 3-0 | ✗ |