New York Mets predictions
Every New York Mets game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
Next game
New York Mets @ New York Yankees
2026-09-12 · 1:36 PM · New York Mets on the road · see the model's call and the best price →
How the model has done on New York Mets
| Measure | Games | Right | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every New York Mets game we called | 58 | 32 | 55.2% |
| Games where the model made New York Mets the favorite | 22 | 14 | 63.6% |
A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads New York Mets correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.
Recent New York Mets calls
| Date | Game | Called | Confidence | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | New York Mets @ Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 53.2% | 15-14 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-08 | New York Mets @ Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 51.1% | 7-5 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-07 | New York Mets @ Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 55.3% | 9-4 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-06 | San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets | New York Mets | 60.2% | 2-4 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets | New York Mets | 60.3% | 9-5 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-04 | San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets | New York Mets | 64.6% | 6-10 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-02 | New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 62.6% | 10-4 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-01 | New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 55.4% | 2-6 | ✓ |
| 2026-08-31 | New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 63.3% | 3-2 | ✗ |
| 2026-08-30 | Houston Astros @ New York Mets | New York Mets | 53.4% | 6-3 | ✗ |