Athletics at Minnesota Twins
All Athletics predictions · All Minnesota Twins predictions
MLB · Sunday, July 26, 2026 · 2:11 PM · Final: 8-11
The model's call
Minnesota Twins to win
Model confidence 59.1%
Books consensus 59.1%
Result Minnesota Twins won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Athletics | Minnesota Twins |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +135 | -160 |
| BetRivers | +130 | -148 |
| DraftKings | +135 | -163 |
| ESPN BET | +135 | -155 |
| Fanatics | +135 | -165 |
| FanDuel | +132 | -156 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +135 | -160 |
| Caesars | +135 | -160 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
Twins −1.5
priced 41.7% to cover · 8 books
Minnesota Twins covered −1.5
Total · closing
O/U 10
priced 48.9% over · 5 books, 3 on another number
Over 10 (19 scored)
| Spread by book | Athletics | Twins |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +125 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -152 | −1.5 +125 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +130 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +130 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -156 | −1.5 +130 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +130 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +130 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 10 -105 | 10 -115 |
| BetRivers | 9.5 -118 | 9.5 -103 |
| DraftKings | 10 -105 | 10 -114 |
| ESPN BET | 9.5 -120 | 9.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | 10 -105 | 10 -115 |
| FanDuel | 10 -105 | 10 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.5 -120 | 9.5 +100 |
| Caesars | 10 -110 | 10 -110 |
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