Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox
All Houston Astros predictions · All Chicago White Sox predictions
MLB · Sunday, July 26, 2026 · 2:11 PM · Final: 3-12
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Houston Astros | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +100 | -120 |
| BetRivers | -103 | -112 |
| DraftKings | +102 | -123 |
| ESPN BET | +100 | -120 |
| Fanatics | +100 | -120 |
| FanDuel | -102 | -116 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +100 | -120 |
| Caesars | +100 | -120 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Astros | White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +155 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +160 | +1.5 -200 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +161 | +1.5 -196 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +165 | +1.5 -200 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +155 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +155 | +1.5 -188 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +155 | +1.5 -190 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -205 | −1.5 +170 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 9 -110 | 9 -110 |
| BetRivers | 9 -108 | 9 -112 |
| DraftKings | 9 -111 | 9 -109 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -135 | 8.5 +115 |
| Fanatics | 9 -110 | 9 -110 |
| FanDuel | 9 -114 | 9 -106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.5 +115 | 9.5 -135 |
| Caesars | 9 -110 | 9 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Houston Astros | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 47.8% | 52.2% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 49.5% | 52.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| Markets average | 48.0% | 52.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.