Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers
All Seattle Mariners predictions · All Texas Rangers predictions
MLB · Sunday, July 26, 2026 · 2:36 PM · Final: 6-4
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Seattle Mariners | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -105 | -115 |
| BetRivers | -107 | -107 |
| DraftKings | -103 | -117 |
| ESPN BET | -110 | -110 |
| Fanatics | -110 | -110 |
| FanDuel | -104 | -112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -105 | -115 |
| Caesars | -110 | -110 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Mariners | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +165 | +1.5 -200 |
| BetRivers | −1 +125 | +1 -152 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +171 | +1.5 -209 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +165 | +1.5 -200 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +160 | +1.5 -200 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +164 | +1.5 -200 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +160 | +1.5 -195 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -235 | −1.5 +192 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7 -120 | 7 +100 |
| BetRivers | 7 -122 | 7 +102 |
| DraftKings | 7 -123 | 7 +102 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 +110 | 7.5 -130 |
| Fanatics | 7 -115 | 7 -105 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 +102 | 7.5 -124 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 +110 | 7.5 -130 |
| Caesars | 7 -120 | 7 +100 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Seattle Mariners | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 50.7% | 51.7% |
| Kalshi contract price | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Markets average | 49.5% | 50.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.