Toronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals
All Toronto Blue Jays predictions · All Washington Nationals predictions
MLB · Monday, July 27, 2026 · 6:46 PM · Final: 3-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Toronto Blue Jays | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +105 | -125 |
| BetRivers | +108 | -124 |
| DraftKings | +109 | -132 |
| ESPN BET | +105 | -125 |
| Fanatics | +105 | -125 |
| FanDuel | +106 | -124 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +105 | -125 |
| Caesars | +115 | -135 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Blue Jays | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -185 | −1.5 +150 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -205 | −1.5 +160 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -176 | −1.5 +145 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +150 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -185 | −1.5 +150 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +150 | +1.5 -182 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -185 | −1.5 +150 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -195 | −1.5 +162 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 10 -118 | 10 -102 |
| BetRivers | 10 -107 | 10 -113 |
| DraftKings | 10 -114 | 10 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 10.5 +105 | 10.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | 10.5 -105 | 10.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 10.5 +100 | 10.5 -122 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.5 -120 | 9.5 +100 |
| Caesars | 10 -110 | 10 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Toronto Blue Jays | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 46.7% | 53.3% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 46.5% | 55.4% |
| Kalshi contract price | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| Markets average | 47.0% | 53.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.