New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox
All New York Yankees predictions · All Chicago White Sox predictions
MLB · Tuesday, July 28, 2026 · 7:41 PM · Final: 3-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Yankees | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -120 | +100 |
| BetRivers | -113 | +100 |
| DraftKings | -125 | +104 |
| ESPN BET | -120 | +100 |
| Fanatics | -120 | +100 |
| FanDuel | -118 | +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -120 | +100 |
| Caesars | -120 | +100 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Yankees | White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +135 | +1.5 -165 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +150 | +1.5 -186 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +137 | +1.5 -166 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +145 | +1.5 -175 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +140 | +1.5 -170 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +146 | +1.5 -178 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +140 | +1.5 -170 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +148 | +1.5 -175 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 +100 |
| BetRivers | 8 -103 | 8 -117 |
| DraftKings | 8 -102 | 8 -118 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -122 | 7.5 +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 +100 |
| Caesars | 8 +100 | 8 -120 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New York Yankees | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 52.2% | 47.8% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 53.1% | 49.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| Markets average | 52.0% | 48.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.