Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays
All Texas Rangers predictions · All Tampa Bay Rays predictions
MLB · Tuesday, July 28, 2026 · 6:41 PM · Final: 4-1
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Texas Rangers | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +145 | -180 |
| BetRivers | +150 | -175 |
| DraftKings | +144 | -175 |
| ESPN BET | +150 | -175 |
| Fanatics | +145 | -175 |
| FanDuel | +150 | -178 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +150 | -180 |
| Caesars | +150 | -178 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Rangers | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +120 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +123 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -148 | −1.5 +123 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -140 | −1.5 +115 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -146 | −1.5 +122 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -140 | −1.5 +120 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -140 | −1.5 +118 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8 -118 | 8 -102 |
| BetRivers | 8.5 +100 | 8.5 -118 |
| DraftKings | 8 -120 | 8 -101 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 +100 | 8.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | 8.5 +100 | 8.5 -120 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 +100 | 8.5 -122 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 +105 | 8.5 -125 |
| Caesars | 8 -120 | 8 +100 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Texas Rangers | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 38.6% | 61.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 40.0% | 63.6% |
| Kalshi contract price | 38.5% | 61.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 38.5% | 61.5% |
| Markets average | 38.5% | 61.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.