New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox
All New York Yankees predictions · All Chicago White Sox predictions
MLB · Wednesday, July 29, 2026 · 7:41 PM · Final: 5-6
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Yankees | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -145 | +120 |
| BetRivers | -148 | +128 |
| DraftKings | -145 | +120 |
| ESPN BET | -140 | +120 |
| Fanatics | -145 | +120 |
| FanDuel | -146 | +124 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -150 | +125 |
| Caesars | -145 | +122 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Yankees | White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +118 | +1.5 -145 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -148 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +119 | +1.5 -143 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -150 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +115 | +1.5 -140 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +122 | +1.5 -146 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +115 | +1.5 -140 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +118 | +1.5 -140 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 -103 | 7.5 -118 |
| DraftKings | 7.5 -108 | 7.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -120 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New York Yankees | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 56.7% | 43.3% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 58.3% | 43.9% |
| Kalshi contract price | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Markets average | 57.5% | 42.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.