Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins
All Philadelphia Phillies predictions · All Miami Marlins predictions
MLB · Wednesday, July 29, 2026 · 12:11 PM · Final: 6-8
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Philadelphia Phillies | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -175 | +145 |
| BetRivers | -175 | +150 |
| DraftKings | -175 | +144 |
| ESPN BET | -170 | +145 |
| Fanatics | -175 | +145 |
| FanDuel | -172 | +144 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -175 | +145 |
| Caesars | -170 | +143 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Philadelphia Phillies | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 60.9% | 39.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 63.0% | 40.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 60.9% | 39.1% |
| Polymarket contract price | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| Markets average | 60.7% | 39.3% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.