Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays
All Texas Rangers predictions · All Tampa Bay Rays predictions
MLB · Wednesday, July 29, 2026 · 6:41 PM · Final: 0-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Texas Rangers | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +125 | -150 |
| BetRivers | +117 | -134 |
| DraftKings | +119 | -144 |
| ESPN BET | +125 | -145 |
| Fanatics | +125 | -150 |
| FanDuel | +122 | -144 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +115 | -145 |
| Caesars | +130 | -155 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Rangers | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +145 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -215 | −1.5 +165 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -186 | −1.5 +153 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +150 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +145 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -176 | −1.5 +146 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +150 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -178 | −1.5 +150 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 -109 | 7.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | 7.5 -112 | 7.5 -107 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Texas Rangers | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 43.1% | 56.9% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 43.5% | 57.3% |
| Kalshi contract price | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| Markets average | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.