Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels
All Houston Astros predictions · All Los Angeles Angels predictions
MLB · Wednesday, July 29, 2026 · 9:39 PM · Final: 7-4
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Houston Astros | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -135 | +110 |
| BetRivers | -129 | +114 |
| DraftKings | -126 | +105 |
| ESPN BET | -135 | +115 |
| Fanatics | -130 | +110 |
| FanDuel | -134 | +114 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -135 | +115 |
| Caesars | -130 | +110 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Astros | Angels |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -145 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -148 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +123 | +1.5 -148 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -145 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +115 | +1.5 -140 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -144 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -140 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +118 | +1.5 -140 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 9.5 -105 | 9.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 9.5 -109 | 9.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | 9.5 -112 | 9.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | 9.5 -105 | 9.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 9.5 +100 | 9.5 -120 |
| FanDuel | 9.5 -110 | 9.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.5 -110 | 9.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 9.5 +105 | 9.5 -125 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Houston Astros | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 54.7% | 45.3% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 55.8% | 46.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 54.9% | 45.1% |
| Polymarket contract price | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| Markets average | 55.2% | 44.8% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.