Detroit Tigers at Athletics
All Detroit Tigers predictions · All Athletics predictions
MLB · Friday, July 31, 2026 · 9:41 PM · Final: 13-1
The model's call
Detroit Tigers to win
Model confidence 56.3%
Books consensus 56.3%
Result Detroit Tigers won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Detroit Tigers | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -145 | +120 |
| BetRivers | -141 | +125 |
| DraftKings | -143 | +118 |
| ESPN BET | -140 | +120 |
| Fanatics | -145 | +120 |
| FanDuel | -134 | +124 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -135 | +125 |
| Caesars | -140 | +118 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
Tigers −1.5
priced 46.7% to cover · 8 books
Detroit Tigers covered −1.5
Total · closing
O/U 10.5
priced 53.0% over · 4 books, 4 on another number
Over 10.5 (14 scored)
| Spread by book | Tigers | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +105 | +1.5 -130 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +106 | +1.5 -129 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +107 | +1.5 -128 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +105 | +1.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +100 | +1.5 -120 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +104 | +1.5 -125 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +110 | +1.5 -120 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +105 | +1.5 -125 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 11 -105 | 11 -115 |
| BetRivers | 11 -103 | 11 -117 |
| DraftKings | 11 -105 | 11 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 10.5 -125 | 10.5 +105 |
| Fanatics | 10.5 -120 | 10.5 +100 |
| FanDuel | 10.5 -124 | 10.5 +102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 10.5 -120 | 10.5 +110 |
| Caesars | 11 -105 | 11 -115 |
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