Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
All Chicago White Sox predictions · All Tampa Bay Rays predictions
MLB · Saturday, August 1, 2026 · 4:11 PM · Final: 0-1
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Chicago White Sox | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +145 | -180 |
| BetRivers | +155 | -177 |
| DraftKings | +144 | -175 |
| ESPN BET | +145 | -170 |
| Fanatics | +140 | -170 |
| FanDuel | +146 | -158 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +150 | -160 |
| Caesars | +143 | -170 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | White Sox | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +125 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -157 | −1.5 +128 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -149 | −1.5 +123 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +130 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +130 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -154 | −1.5 +128 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +135 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +122 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 -108 | 7.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | 7.5 -104 | 7.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -120 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Chicago White Sox | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 39.4% | 60.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 39.2% | 61.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| Markets average | 39.5% | 60.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.