Arizona Diamondbacks at Cleveland Guardians
All Arizona Diamondbacks predictions · All Cleveland Guardians predictions
MLB · Saturday, August 1, 2026 · 7:16 PM · Final: 12-8
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Arizona Diamondbacks | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +150 | -185 |
| BetRivers | +143 | -165 |
| DraftKings | +152 | -185 |
| ESPN BET | +150 | -175 |
| Fanatics | +150 | -180 |
| FanDuel | +158 | -172 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +160 | -170 |
| Caesars | +150 | -178 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Arizona Diamondbacks | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 38.2% | 61.8% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 38.5% | 62.3% |
| Kalshi contract price | 38.1% | 61.9% |
| Polymarket contract price | 38.5% | 61.5% |
| Markets average | 38.3% | 61.7% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.