Arizona Diamondbacks at Cleveland Guardians
All Arizona Diamondbacks predictions · All Cleveland Guardians predictions
MLB · Sunday, August 2, 2026 · 1:42 PM · Final: 0-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Arizona Diamondbacks | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +155 | -190 |
| BetRivers | +160 | -182 |
| DraftKings | +157 | -191 |
| ESPN BET | +155 | -185 |
| Fanatics | +155 | -190 |
| FanDuel | +174 | -186 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +165 | -175 |
| Caesars | +158 | -190 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Diamondbacks | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -140 | −1.5 +115 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -143 | −1.5 +118 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -137 | −1.5 +114 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +120 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +120 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -134 | −1.5 +112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -135 | −1.5 +125 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -135 | −1.5 +115 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8 +100 | 8 -120 |
| BetRivers | 8 +100 | 8 -118 |
| DraftKings | 8 -102 | 8 -118 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 8 -105 | 8 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 +100 |
| Caesars | 8 +100 | 8 -120 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Arizona Diamondbacks | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 37.3% | 62.7% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 36.5% | 63.6% |
| Kalshi contract price | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Markets average | 37.5% | 62.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.