Arizona Diamondbacks at Cleveland Guardians
All Arizona Diamondbacks predictions · All Cleveland Guardians predictions
MLB · Sunday, August 2, 2026 · 1:42 PM · Final: 0-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Arizona Diamondbacks | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +155 | -190 |
| BetRivers | +160 | -182 |
| DraftKings | +157 | -191 |
| ESPN BET | +155 | -185 |
| Fanatics | +155 | -190 |
| FanDuel | +174 | -186 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +165 | -175 |
| Caesars | +158 | -190 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Arizona Diamondbacks | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 37.3% | 62.7% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 36.5% | 63.6% |
| Kalshi contract price | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Markets average | 37.5% | 62.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.