Detroit Tigers at Athletics
All Detroit Tigers predictions · All Athletics predictions
MLB · Sunday, August 2, 2026 · 4:06 PM · Final: 11-0
The model's call
Detroit Tigers to win
Model confidence 53.4%
Books consensus 53.4%
Result Detroit Tigers won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Detroit Tigers | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -130 | +105 |
| BetRivers | -122 | +108 |
| DraftKings | -126 | +105 |
| ESPN BET | -125 | +105 |
| Fanatics | -125 | +105 |
| FanDuel | -120 | +110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -120 | +110 |
| Caesars | -121 | +110 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
Tigers −1.5
priced 42.7% to cover · 7 books, 1 on another number
Detroit Tigers covered −1.5
Total · closing
O/U 10
priced 50.0% over · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened 11
Over 10 (11 scored)
| Spread by book | Tigers | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -155 |
| BetRivers | −1 +100 | +1 -121 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +123 | +1.5 -148 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +130 | +1.5 -155 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -150 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +118 | +1.5 -142 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +130 | +1.5 -140 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +122 | +1.5 -145 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 10 -110 | 10 -110 |
| BetRivers | 10 -113 | 10 -106 |
| DraftKings | 10 -108 | 10 -111 |
| ESPN BET | 9.5 -130 | 9.5 +110 |
| Fanatics | 10 -110 | 10 -110 |
| FanDuel | 10 -110 | 10 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.5 -120 | 9.5 +110 |
| Caesars | 10 -110 | 10 -110 |
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