Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers
All Pittsburgh Pirates predictions · All Milwaukee Brewers predictions
MLB · Monday, August 3, 2026 · 7:41 PM · Final: 4-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Pittsburgh Pirates | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +125 | -150 |
| BetRivers | +123 | -148 |
| DraftKings | +129 | -156 |
| ESPN BET | +125 | -145 |
| Fanatics | +125 | -150 |
| FanDuel | +134 | -144 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +135 | -145 |
| Caesars | +132 | -142 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Pittsburgh Pirates | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 42.4% | 57.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 42.6% | 58.7% |
| Kalshi contract price | 41.5% | 58.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| Markets average | 42.0% | 58.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.