Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs
All Los Angeles Dodgers predictions · All Chicago Cubs predictions
MLB · Monday, August 3, 2026 · 8:06 PM · Final: 5-10
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Los Angeles Dodgers | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -125 | +105 |
| BetRivers | -124 | +110 |
| DraftKings | -125 | +104 |
| ESPN BET | -125 | +105 |
| Fanatics | -125 | +105 |
| FanDuel | -122 | +112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -125 | +115 |
| Caesars | -122 | +112 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Dodgers | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -155 |
| BetRivers | −1 +105 | +1 -127 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +128 | +1.5 -155 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +130 | +1.5 -155 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -150 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +140 | +1.5 -170 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +140 | +1.5 -150 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +126 | +1.5 -150 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 +100 |
| BetRivers | 8 -106 | 8 -113 |
| DraftKings | 7.5 -113 | 7.5 -106 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 8 -104 | 8 -118 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 +105 |
| Caesars | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Los Angeles Dodgers | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 55.0% | 46.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Markets average | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.