Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs
All Los Angeles Dodgers predictions · All Chicago Cubs predictions
MLB · Tuesday, August 4, 2026 · 8:06 PM · Final: 1-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Los Angeles Dodgers | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -200 | +165 |
| BetRivers | -205 | +180 |
| DraftKings | -186 | +174 |
| ESPN BET | -195 | +165 |
| Fanatics | -195 | +160 |
| FanDuel | -190 | +176 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -185 | +175 |
| Caesars | -183 | +168 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Dodgers | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 -120 | +1.5 +100 |
| BetRivers | −2 +102 | +2 -124 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 -126 | +1.5 +105 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 -120 | +1.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 -120 | +1.5 +100 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 -126 | +1.5 +105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 +105 |
| Caesars | −1.5 -125 | +1.5 +105 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 9 -110 | 9 -110 |
| BetRivers | 9 -107 | 9 -113 |
| DraftKings | 9 -113 | 9 -107 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -130 | 8.5 +110 |
| Fanatics | 9 +100 | 9 -120 |
| FanDuel | 9 -110 | 9 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.5 +120 | 9.5 -130 |
| Caesars | 9 -110 | 9 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Los Angeles Dodgers | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 63.9% | 36.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 64.7% | 35.7% |
| Kalshi contract price | 64.1% | 35.9% |
| Polymarket contract price | 64.5% | 35.5% |
| Markets average | 64.3% | 35.7% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.