Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox
All Chicago White Sox predictions · All Boston Red Sox predictions
MLB · Tuesday, August 4, 2026 · 7:11 PM · Final: 2-14
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Chicago White Sox | Boston Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +125 | -155 |
| BetRivers | +120 | -137 |
| DraftKings | +138 | -147 |
| ESPN BET | +125 | -145 |
| Fanatics | +130 | -155 |
| FanDuel | +134 | -144 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +135 | -145 |
| Caesars | +130 | -140 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | White Sox | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -165 | −1.5 +135 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -182 | −1.5 +148 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -168 | −1.5 +139 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -165 | −1.5 +140 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -170 | −1.5 +140 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -164 | −1.5 +136 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +150 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -165 | −1.5 +140 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 9 -102 | 9 -118 |
| BetRivers | 9 -108 | 9 -112 |
| DraftKings | 9 -103 | 9 -117 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -130 | 8.5 +110 |
| Fanatics | 9 -105 | 9 -115 |
| FanDuel | 9 -105 | 9 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 -130 | 8.5 +120 |
| Caesars | 9 -105 | 9 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Chicago White Sox | Boston Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 42.1% | 57.9% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 42.0% | 57.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 42.5% | 57.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.