St. Louis Cardinals at New York Yankees
All St. Louis Cardinals predictions · All New York Yankees predictions
MLB · Tuesday, August 4, 2026 · 7:06 PM · Final: 0-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | St. Louis Cardinals | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +170 | -210 |
| BetRivers | +175 | -200 |
| DraftKings | +179 | -192 |
| ESPN BET | +175 | -210 |
| Fanatics | +175 | -215 |
| FanDuel | +186 | -205 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +190 | -200 |
| Caesars | +183 | -203 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Cardinals | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -115 | −1.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -132 | −1.5 +108 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -117 | −1.5 -103 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -120 | −1.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -115 | −1.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -118 | −1.5 -102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -115 | −1.5 +105 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -120 | −1.5 +100 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8 -110 | 8 -110 |
| BetRivers | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| DraftKings | 8 -112 | 8 -107 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 +105 | 8.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | 8 -115 | 8 -105 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 -102 | 8.5 -120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 +105 | 8.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 8 -115 | 8 -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | St. Louis Cardinals | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 34.8% | 65.2% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 34.5% | 65.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 34.5% | 65.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 35.5% | 64.5% |
| Markets average | 35.0% | 65.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.