Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox

MLB · Tuesday, July 7, 2026 · 7:41 PM · Final: 8-1

The model's call
Boston Red Sox to win
Model confidence 53.2%
Books consensus 53.2%
Result Boston Red Sox won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Boston Red SoxChicago White Sox
BetMGM -125 +105
BetRivers -125 +102
DraftKings -126 +104
ESPN BET -125 +105
Fanatics -130 +110
FanDuel -124 +106
Hard Rock Bet -125 +105
Caesars -125 +105
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