Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles
All Los Angeles Angels predictions · All Baltimore Orioles predictions
MLB · Wednesday, August 5, 2026 · 6:36 PM · Final: 2-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Los Angeles Angels | Baltimore Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +118 | -150 |
| BetRivers | +114 | -136 |
| DraftKings | +126 | -134 |
| ESPN BET | +121 | -136 |
| Fanatics | +120 | -145 |
| FanDuel | +122 | -132 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +125 | -135 |
| Caesars | +130 | -140 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Angels | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +145 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -186 | −1.5 +150 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -176 | −1.5 +145 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +150 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +145 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -172 | −1.5 +142 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -165 | −1.5 +155 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -170 | −1.5 +143 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 -130 | 7.5 +100 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 -118 | 7.5 -103 |
| DraftKings | 8 -105 | 8 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -125 | 7.5 +105 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 +100 |
| FanDuel | 8 -105 | 8 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 +105 |
| Caesars | 8 +100 | 8 -120 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Los Angeles Angels | Baltimore Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 43.6% | 56.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 43.5% | 56.9% |
| Kalshi contract price | 43.1% | 56.9% |
| Polymarket contract price | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| Markets average | 43.3% | 56.7% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.