St. Louis Cardinals at New York Yankees
All St. Louis Cardinals predictions · All New York Yankees predictions
MLB · Wednesday, August 5, 2026 · 8:15 PM · Final: 3-1
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | St. Louis Cardinals | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +125 | -155 |
| BetRivers | +140 | -159 |
| DraftKings | +144 | -153 |
| ESPN BET | +135 | -155 |
| Fanatics | +130 | -155 |
| FanDuel | +140 | -150 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +140 | -150 |
| Caesars | +135 | -145 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Cardinals | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +135 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -162 | −1.5 +132 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -157 | −1.5 +130 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +135 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +130 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -156 | −1.5 +130 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +140 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +135 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8 -118 | 8 -102 |
| BetRivers | 8.5 -107 | 8.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 +100 | 8.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | 8 -115 | 8 -105 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 +105 | 8.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | St. Louis Cardinals | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 41.1% | 58.9% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 41.0% | 59.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 40.5% | 59.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 41.5% | 58.5% |
| Markets average | 41.0% | 59.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.