Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers
All Pittsburgh Pirates predictions · All Milwaukee Brewers predictions
MLB · Thursday, August 6, 2026 · 2:11 PM · Final: 2-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Pittsburgh Pirates | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +105 | -130 |
| BetRivers | +107 | -122 |
| DraftKings | +121 | -129 |
| ESPN BET | +111 | -125 |
| Fanatics | +105 | -125 |
| FanDuel | +110 | -118 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +110 | -120 |
| Caesars | +110 | -121 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Pittsburgh Pirates | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 45.2% | 54.1% |
| Kalshi contract price | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Markets average | 46.0% | 54.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.