Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox
All Cleveland Guardians predictions · All Chicago White Sox predictions
MLB · Friday, August 7, 2026 · 7:41 PM · Final: 8-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Cleveland Guardians | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -150 | +125 |
| BetRivers | -141 | +125 |
| DraftKings | -135 | +125 |
| ESPN BET | -140 | +120 |
| Fanatics | -150 | +125 |
| FanDuel | -138 | +128 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -140 | +130 |
| Caesars | -140 | +130 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Guardians | White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +115 | +1.5 -140 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -148 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +118 | +1.5 -143 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -150 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +115 | +1.5 -140 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +114 | +1.5 -137 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -135 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +118 | +1.5 -140 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 -118 | 7.5 -102 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 -114 | 7.5 -106 |
| DraftKings | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 +105 |
| Caesars | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Cleveland Guardians | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 57.4% | 43.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Markets average | 57.5% | 42.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.