Atlanta Braves at New York Yankees
All Atlanta Braves predictions · All New York Yankees predictions
MLB · Saturday, August 8, 2026 · 3:08 PM · Final: 4-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Atlanta Braves | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -150 | +125 |
| BetRivers | -148 | +128 |
| DraftKings | -141 | +131 |
| ESPN BET | -145 | +125 |
| Fanatics | -155 | +130 |
| FanDuel | -146 | +136 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -145 | +135 |
| Caesars | -145 | +135 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Braves | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -145 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -148 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +124 | +1.5 -149 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -150 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +115 | +1.5 -140 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +112 | +1.5 -134 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -130 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +118 | +1.5 -140 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 -107 | 7.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -112 | 7.5 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 +100 |
| Caesars | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Atlanta Braves | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 57.9% | 42.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 58.5% | 42.4% |
| Kalshi contract price | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Markets average | 58.5% | 41.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.