Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox
All Cleveland Guardians predictions · All Chicago White Sox predictions
MLB · Saturday, August 8, 2026 · 7:16 PM · Final: 3-6
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Cleveland Guardians | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -135 | +110 |
| BetRivers | -125 | +110 |
| DraftKings | -125 | +117 |
| ESPN BET | -135 | +115 |
| Fanatics | -130 | +110 |
| FanDuel | -126 | +116 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -125 | +115 |
| Caesars | -125 | +115 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Guardians | White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +135 | +1.5 -165 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +140 | +1.5 -175 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +132 | +1.5 -160 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +135 | +1.5 -160 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +130 | +1.5 -160 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +126 | +1.5 -152 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +140 | +1.5 -150 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +135 | +1.5 -160 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7 -115 | 7 -105 |
| BetRivers | 7 -121 | 7 +102 |
| DraftKings | 7 -124 | 7 +103 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -135 |
| Fanatics | 7 -115 | 7 -105 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 +104 | 7.5 -128 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -125 |
| Caesars | 7 -110 | 7 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Cleveland Guardians | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 55.6% | 46.1% |
| Kalshi contract price | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| Markets average | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.