Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB · Tuesday, July 7, 2026 · 6:41 PM · Final: 4-12
The model's call
Pittsburgh Pirates to win
Model confidence 57.3%
Books consensus 57.3%
Result Pittsburgh Pirates won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Atlanta Braves | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +125 | -150 |
| BetRivers | +123 | -152 |
| DraftKings | +124 | -149 |
| ESPN BET | +125 | -145 |
| Fanatics | +120 | -145 |
| FanDuel | +126 | -148 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +125 | -155 |
| Caesars | +122 | -145 |
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts
involve risk; this is not investment advice.