Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies
All Toronto Blue Jays predictions · All Philadelphia Phillies predictions
MLB · Sunday, August 9, 2026 · 1:36 PM · Final: 6-7
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Toronto Blue Jays | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +195 | -235 |
| BetRivers | +200 | -230 |
| DraftKings | +217 | -235 |
| ESPN BET | +190 | -225 |
| Fanatics | +200 | -245 |
| FanDuel | +205 | -225 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +220 | -230 |
| Caesars | +215 | -245 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Toronto Blue Jays | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 32.0% | 68.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 31.2% | 69.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 31.5% | 68.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 32.5% | 67.5% |
| Markets average | 32.0% | 68.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.