New York Mets at Atlanta Braves
All New York Mets predictions · All Atlanta Braves predictions
MLB · Monday, August 10, 2026 · 7:16 PM · Final: 8-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Mets | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +118 | -145 |
| BetRivers | +114 | -136 |
| DraftKings | +127 | -136 |
| ESPN BET | +125 | -145 |
| Fanatics | +120 | -145 |
| FanDuel | +130 | -140 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +130 | -140 |
| Caesars | +126 | -136 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New York Mets | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 43.4% | 56.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 43.5% | 57.6% |
| Kalshi contract price | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| Markets average | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.