New York Mets at Atlanta Braves
All New York Mets predictions · All Atlanta Braves predictions
MLB · Tuesday, August 11, 2026 · 7:45 PM · Final: 0-4
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Mets | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +130 | -160 |
| BetRivers | +110 | -150 |
| DraftKings | +131 | -150 |
| ESPN BET | +120 | -155 |
| Fanatics | +115 | -150 |
| FanDuel | +120 | -135 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +115 | -150 |
| Caesars | +105 | -135 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New York Mets | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 43.7% | 56.3% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 43.3% | 57.4% |
| Kalshi contract price | 45.1% | 54.9% |
| Polymarket contract price | 41.5% | 58.5% |
| Markets average | 43.3% | 56.7% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.