Kansas City Royals at New York Mets
MLB · Tuesday, July 7, 2026 · 7:11 PM · Final: 16-12
The model's call
New York Mets to win
Model confidence 56.5%
Books consensus 56.5%
Result Kansas City Royals won
model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Kansas City Royals | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +118 | -145 |
| BetRivers | +130 | -159 |
| DraftKings | +119 | -144 |
| ESPN BET | +125 | -145 |
| Fanatics | +120 | -145 |
| FanDuel | +120 | -142 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +125 | -145 |
| Caesars | +118 | -140 |
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