New York Mets at Atlanta Braves
All New York Mets predictions · All Atlanta Braves predictions
MLB · Wednesday, August 12, 2026 · 7:16 PM · Final: 3-6
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Mets | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +155 | -190 |
| BetRivers | +163 | -190 |
| DraftKings | +158 | -170 |
| ESPN BET | +155 | -185 |
| Fanatics | +155 | -190 |
| FanDuel | +158 | -172 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +160 | -170 |
| Caesars | +162 | -177 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New York Mets | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Markets average | 37.0% | 63.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.