New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks
All New England Patriots predictions · All Seattle Seahawks predictions
NFL · Wednesday, September 9, 2026 · 8:23 PM · Final: 10-13
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New England Patriots | Seattle Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +145 | -175 |
| BetRivers | +150 | -182 |
| DraftKings | +140 | -166 |
| ESPN BET | +152 | -172 |
| Fanatics | +145 | -175 |
| FanDuel | +148 | -176 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +140 | -165 |
| Caesars | +148 | -176 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Patriots | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +3 +100 | −3 -110 |
| BetRivers | +3 -104 | −3 -118 |
| DraftKings | +3 -102 | −3 -118 |
| ESPN BET | +3 +101 | −3 -114 |
| Fanatics | +3 -105 | −3 -115 |
| FanDuel | +3.5 -120 | −3.5 -102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +3 +100 | −3 -120 |
| Caesars | +3 -104 | −3 -115 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 44.5 -108 | 44.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 44 -112 | 44 -109 |
| DraftKings | 44.5 -108 | 44.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | 44.5 -105 | 44.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 44.5 -105 | 44.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 44.5 -108 | 44.5 -112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 44 -110 | 44 -110 |
| Caesars | 44.5 -108 | 44.5 -112 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New England Patriots | Seattle Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 38.9% | 61.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 39.7% | 62.3% |
| Kalshi contract price | 38.5% | 61.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.