Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

New England Patriots predictions

Every New England Patriots game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.

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Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots

2026-09-20 · 1:00 PM · New England Patriots at home · see the model's call and the best price →

How the model has done on New England Patriots

MeasureGamesRight Hit rate
Every New England Patriots game we called 11 100.0%
Games where the model made New England Patriots the favorite 00

A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads New England Patriots correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.

Recent New England Patriots calls

DateGameCalled ConfidenceFinal
2026-09-09 New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks Seattle Seahawks 61.1% 10-13

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