New England Patriots predictions
Every New England Patriots game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
Next game
New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
2026-11-01 · 4:25 PM · New England Patriots on the road · see the model's call and the best price →
How the model has done on New England Patriots
| Measure | Games | Right | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every New England Patriots game we called | 7 | 6 | 85.7% |
| Games where the model made New England Patriots the favorite | 3 | 3 | 100.0% |
A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads New England Patriots correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.
Recent New England Patriots calls
| Date | Game | Called | Confidence | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears | Chicago Bears | 58.8% | 24-30 | ✓ |
| 2026-10-18 | New York Jets @ New England Patriots | New England Patriots | 74.5% | 19-26 | ✓ |
| 2026-10-11 | Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots | New England Patriots | 62.4% | 17-45 | ✓ |
| 2026-10-04 | New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills | Buffalo Bills | 74.1% | 29-26 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-27 | New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Jacksonville Jaguars | 59.0% | 6-35 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-20 | Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots | New England Patriots | 67.0% | 3-20 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-09 | New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks | Seattle Seahawks | 61.1% | 10-13 | ✓ |