Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers
All Atlanta Falcons predictions · All Pittsburgh Steelers predictions
NFL · Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 1:04 PM · Final: 13-20
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Atlanta Falcons | Pittsburgh Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +250 | -300 |
| BetRivers | +235 | -295 |
| DraftKings | +240 | -298 |
| ESPN BET | +240 | -290 |
| Fanatics | +240 | -300 |
| FanDuel | +245 | -300 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +260 | -325 |
| Caesars | +245 | -310 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Falcons | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +6.5 -108 | −6.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | +6.5 -110 | −6.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | +6.5 -108 | −6.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | +6.5 -110 | −6.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +6.5 -115 | −6.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +6.5 -110 | −6.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +6.5 -105 | −6.5 -115 |
| Caesars | +6.5 -109 | −6.5 -109 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 40.5 -110 | 40.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 41 -107 | 41 -114 |
| DraftKings | 40.5 -112 | 40.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | 40.5 -110 | 40.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 40.5 -115 | 40.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 40.5 -112 | 40.5 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 40.5 -115 | 40.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 40.5 -114 | 40.5 -106 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Atlanta Falcons | Pittsburgh Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 28.0% | 72.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 27.8% | 74.4% |
| Kalshi contract price | 27.5% | 72.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.