Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Atlanta Falcons predictions

Every Atlanta Falcons game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.

Next game

Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2026-11-01 · 1:00 PM · Atlanta Falcons on the road · see the model's call and the best price →

How the model has done on Atlanta Falcons

MeasureGamesRight Hit rate
Every Atlanta Falcons game we called 73 42.9%
Games where the model made Atlanta Falcons the favorite 10 0.0%

A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Atlanta Falcons correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.

Recent Atlanta Falcons calls

DateGameCalled ConfidenceFinal
2026-10-25 San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons San Francisco 49ers 57.5% 20-29 ✗
2026-10-18 Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons Chicago Bears 51.5% 31-23 ✓
2026-10-11 Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons 61.4% 30-23 ✗
2026-10-05 Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints 51.0% 45-24 ✗
2026-09-24 Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers Green Bay Packers 67.9% 35-14 ✗
2026-09-20 Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons Carolina Panthers 56.5% 34-3 ✓
2026-09-13 Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers 72.0% 13-20 ✓

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