Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears
All Minnesota Vikings predictions · All Chicago Bears predictions
NFL · Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 1:02 PM · Final: 9-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Minnesota Vikings | Chicago Bears |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +175 | -210 |
| BetRivers | +175 | -220 |
| DraftKings | +180 | -218 |
| ESPN BET | +175 | -210 |
| Fanatics | +175 | -215 |
| FanDuel | +180 | -215 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +190 | -225 |
| Caesars | +183 | -218 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Vikings | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +4.5 -105 | −4.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | +5 -113 | −5 -108 |
| DraftKings | +4.5 -108 | −4.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | +4.5 -110 | −4.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +4.5 -115 | −4.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +4.5 -110 | −4.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +4.5 -110 | −4.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +4.5 -110 | −4.5 -109 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 47 -107 | 47 -114 |
| DraftKings | 46.5 -115 | 46.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 46.5 -115 | 46.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 46.5 -107 | 46.5 -112 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Minnesota Vikings | Chicago Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 34.5% | 65.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 34.5% | 67.7% |
| Kalshi contract price | 33.8% | 66.2% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.