Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Chicago Bears predictions

Every Chicago Bears game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.

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Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks

2026-11-02 · 8:20 PM · Chicago Bears on the road · see the model's call and the best price →

How the model has done on Chicago Bears

MeasureGamesRight Hit rate
Every Chicago Bears game we called 74 57.1%
Games where the model made Chicago Bears the favorite 64 66.7%

A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Chicago Bears correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.

Recent Chicago Bears calls

DateGameCalled ConfidenceFinal
2026-10-22 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Chicago Bears 58.8% 24-30 ✓
2026-10-18 Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons Chicago Bears 51.5% 31-23 ✓
2026-10-11 Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Chicago Bears 52.5% 7-31 ✗
2026-10-04 New York Jets @ Chicago Bears Chicago Bears 62.9% 12-23 ✓
2026-09-28 Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears Philadelphia Eagles 63.8% 7-27 ✗
2026-09-20 Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears Chicago Bears 65.5% 9-3 ✗
2026-09-13 Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers Chicago Bears 59.4% 59-37 ✓

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