Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers
All Atlanta Falcons predictions · All Green Bay Packers predictions
NFL · Thursday, September 24, 2026 · 8:15 PM · Final: 35-14
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Atlanta Falcons | Green Bay Packers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +210 | -250 |
| BetRivers | +210 | -265 |
| DraftKings | +190 | -230 |
| ESPN BET | +195 | -230 |
| Fanatics | +200 | -245 |
| FanDuel | +198 | -240 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +210 | -260 |
| Caesars | +199 | -240 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Falcons | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +4.5 +100 | −4.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | +5 -112 | −5 -109 |
| DraftKings | +4.5 -108 | −4.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | +4.5 -110 | −4.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +4.5 -105 | −4.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | +4.5 -105 | −4.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +5.5 -110 | −5.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +4.5 -105 | −4.5 -115 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 43 -110 | 43 -108 |
| BetRivers | 43 -112 | 43 -109 |
| DraftKings | 42.5 -115 | 42.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 42.5 -120 | 42.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | 43 -110 | 43 -110 |
| FanDuel | 43.5 -102 | 43.5 -120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 43 -110 | 43 -110 |
| Caesars | 42.5 -117 | 42.5 -104 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Atlanta Falcons | Green Bay Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 32.1% | 67.9% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 32.3% | 69.7% |
| Kalshi contract price | 31.5% | 68.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.